Sawyer Koops

WSK Daily Rundown 1/3

Sawyer Koops

Welcome to the WSK Sports Daily Rundown!


For FanDuel's 3 game slate, we'll break down players from each game, rather than by position.

As always, if you'd like to optimize lineups, email us at wsksolutions@gmail.com for details. You can access the optimizer from here. Follow our Twitter and Instagram for pre-lock data visualizations. 

 

Notable Injuries

The following are injuries to keep an eye out for:
 

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  • Chris Paul - Out

  • Kyle Lowry - GTD(Pending shoot around)

  • Eric Gordon - Out

  • Will Barton - Out

  • Rudy Gay - Probable (Wrist - Upgraded from doubtful)

  • James Ennis - Probable

  • Marvin Bagley - Out

  • Jonas Valanciunas - Out

  • Damian Jones - Out

 

TOR @ SAS

Line: SA -1.5
O/U: 216.5

In the first meeting between the two teams after this summer's blockbuster trade, all eyes will be on the first game of tonight's slate. 

Studs
Kawhi Leonard ($10.3K), Lamarcus Aldridge ($9K), and Demar Derozan ($8.8K) are the priciest players for this game, each with similar ceilings. Kawhi's price was likely set with the assumption that Kyle Lowry would sit, but there's a chance the all-star PG suits up after a 4 game absence. Kawhi will be returning to San Antonio and will likely face a hostile Spurs crowd. But despite the juicy narrative, this season Kawhi has topped 60 fantasy points only twice - the same amount of times as Demar Derozan. Given the $1.5K price difference, consider having one or the other (or both if you choose to stack this game) in your lineups. LA has been a beast over his last three games, averaging 52.2 fantasy points per game. But the Raptors are stingy against PF's, so make sure you hedge a bit.

Mid-value
There are some decent mid-value plays, particularly if Rudy Gay and Kyle Lowry sit. Pascal Siakim ($7K), Serge Ibaka ($6.6K), and Derrick White ($6.1K) are all solid plays. Out of the Toronto PF's, Pascal is the hottest coming into tonight's matchup, netting 35+ fantasy points in 5 of his last 7 games. But FanDuel has adjusted his price accordingly, and his ceiling is roughly ~40 points - he's only reached 40+ points three times this season. Serge has higher upside and is cheaper, missing three games at the end of December and averaging 26 points over his last two games. Finally, Derrick White has been coming on lately, averaging ~36 fantasy points over his last three games. However FanDuel has bumped his price to match his recent output, and he's generally limited to 27-29 minutes per game. He's a solid play, but his upside is limited.

Bargains
Bryn Forbes ($4.4K) has averaged over 30 minutes per game over his last four. While the PG doesn't generally explode for big games, he's a solid contributor and will likely hit his targeted value. If Rudy Gay is limited, or even out, look for Davis Bertrans ($4K) to round out your lineups at SF. With Rudy out against Boston, Davis netted 25 fantasy points over 30 minutes of action.

 

DEN @ SAC

Line: DEN -3.5
O/U: 227


In what may be night's highest paced matchup, there are a number of players you can use to round out your lineups. 

Studs
Niko Jokic ($10.3K) and Dearon Fox ($8.7K) are the highest priced players from this game. Of the two, Jokic by far has the highest ceiling. After tough matchups against the Spurs, Jokic abused both Deandre Ayton and Enes Kanter for 54 and 65 points respectively. Willy Cauley-Stein has had a rough stretch of games, particularly in the rebounding department. Jokic is poised to have his way with the Kings in a fast-paced matchup. Fox, dealing with a minor shoulder injury, is coming off one of his worst games this season. While it isn't clear to what extent the injury is impacting his ability to score the ball, he continues to play hard and for 30+ minutes. He's a solid play and can easily go for 50+ points.

Mid-value
On the Denver side of the game, finding solid mid-value plays will be difficult - variety will be the name of the game. Coming back from injury, Gary Harris and Paul Millsap look to reassert themselves as starters. As such, Jamal Murray ($8K) is a risky play. He can easily net 40+ fantasy points, but the impact on his minutes remains to be determined. Millsap is back after an 8 game absence and saw 22 minutes of action in his last outing. As his minutes creep up, so too will his production. He's a solid play and will look to reestablish his early-season production.

Cauley-Stein isn't my favorite center on the slate, but given it's a 3-gamer, he should find his way into a few lineups. He hasn't broken 40 fantasy points in two weeks, and could face early foul trouble against a crafty Jokic. Bjielica ($6.5K), Bogdanovic($6.7K) and Hield ($7K) on the other hand are great mid-value options. Bjielica has rebounded the ball extremely well, posting a nice double-double against the Blazers in his last game. Bogdanovic has netted 35+ points over his last two games. And Hield found his stroke against the blazers, posting 40 fantasy points in 39 minutes of action.

Bargains
As a matter of strategy, given the small slate you'll be served well if you work in a few of the Denver value plays. Gary Harris ($4.8K) was limited to 20 minutes of action against the Knicks, and was slow in his return. It isn't clear whether he'll face another minutes restriction, but either way he'll likely impact the minutes of Torrey Craig, Malik Beasely, and Monte Morris. For the sake of finding value, try inserting one of those three into a lineup just in case. Against the Knicks, Beasley crushed for 40 fantasy points.

 

HOU @ GSW

Line: GS -8.0
O/U: 225

In their second matchup against the Rockets since the Western Conference Finals, the Golden State Warriors are full strength and look to bounce back after a 20 point blowout in November.

Studs
Take your pick. Seriously. James Harden ($13K) has been the hottest player in basketball as he looks to claim a second MVP. He's averaging 67 FPPG over his last 8, and 1.5 FPPM this season. If the game is close, James Harden will likely be the reason why. Stephen Curry ($10.4K) and Kevin Durant ($10.1) are excellent plays with tons of upside. Each can match James Harden's production, and will hopefully come into the game with energy. What's appealing about the two is at their price point, you will find a number of stacked lineups. Finally, we should mention Clint Capela. FanDuel has reduced his price below $9K, and he's facing a Warriors squad that has been abused by opposing centers. 

Mid-value
There aren't many mid-value plays in this game, so it's worth mentioning the obvious. Draymond Green ($6.9K) can do just about everything on the floor except score. If the game is tight and he stays out of foul trouble, he can easily go for 40 fantasy points. Klay Thompson ($7.4K) is a bit pricey, but he's also the guy who dropped in 14 three pointers earlier this season. In a single game. While he's struggled with his shot this season, his last 5 games have been promising.

Bargains
Austin Rivers ($3.8K) will likely show up in almost every optimized lineup given the minutes bump and his potential.  PJ Tucker ($4.4K) is a poor man's Draymond and has been known to knock down the corner three against this Warriors team, albeit with lots of other playmakers on the floor. Finally, if James Ennis does in fact return tonight, we may see a reduction in Daniel House's value ($4.4K), but he's certainly someone you should keep your eye on.